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Big Picture - Key Themes for 2025

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As we step into 2025, a confluence of geopolitical, economic and generational shifts will impact markets. The anti-establishment sweep of 2024 brought anti-elitist and anti-immigration leaders to power, sparking a wave of protectionist policies - from tariffs to subsidies and sanctions. While many believe the new U.S. administration's tariff strategy will drive higher inflation, stronger rates and a surging U.S. dollar, history shows that market relationships are rarely so linear.

Global trade and capital flows are evolving. The U.S. champions a "China Plus One" strategy to diversify supply chains, while Beijing counters with its own "U.S. Plus One" approach. This geopolitical tug-of-war will create clear winners and losers. And, the competition extends beyond our planet, as space emerges as the next commercial frontier.

Meanwhile, back on Earth, demographic and generational shifts are reshaping economies and consumption patterns. Aging populations drive demand for specialized infrastructure and services, while Millennials and Gen Z exert their purchasing power through digital connectivity and dopamine drive. For these younger generations, joy is just a click away.

Read more in our Key Themes for 2025.

BIG PICTURE - KEY THEMES FOR 2025

  1. Too Much Linear Thinking
  2. The 3 Antis
  3. The 3 Ss: Subsidies, Sanctions, Security
  4. Follow the Ships
  5. Follow the Money
  6. China's Stimulus Fatigue
  7. Emerging Markets in Motion
  8. Orbiting Opportunities
  9. The Global Edge
  10. Navigating the Age Wave
  11. Bonus Theme: Dopamine Overdrive

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Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley Investment Management’s Insurance Solutions team proudly supports our insurance clients with bespoke investment solutions and a comprehensive range of strategies that align well with insurers’ investment objectives and risk tolerances. We provide risk-based capital efficient solutions across public and private market strategies, and add value through thought leadership across insurance research, portfolio management, strategic asset allocation, reporting, risk management, and rating agency/regulatory considerations.

Joel Cramer, CFA
Managing Director, Head of North American Insurance Solutions
joel.cramer@morganstanley.com
Office: 312 706 4216
Mobile: 630 222 6765

www.morganstanley.com
 
1585 Broadway,
New York, NY 10036

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