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Insurance Industry Trends: Liquidity and Quality Headlined Insurers’ 2024 Agenda

Design sem nome (4)

Just as the blooms emerge on the flowers and trees each spring, so do insurance companies’ annual filings. Each year, we at IR+M delve into these documents and illuminate how insurers’ investment portfolios evolved over the previous year. In 2024, insurers were positioned more defensively as they increased portfolio liquidity and realized record results due to elevated yields and positive equity returns. As insurers continue to navigate persistent and pervasive uncertainty, flexibility will remain essential.

 

Review of 2024

  • Insurer assets and net investment income (NII) reached record highs in 2024. Thanks to a supportive equity market and higher new money yields, the total book value of cash and invested assets grew by $433 billion to nearly $8.5 trillion, a 5.4% increase year-over-year (YoY). Higher interest rates supported total NII, which increased by 14.0% to $350 billion, exceeding the previous year’s record for a third consecutive year.
    • Net investment income reached new 25-year highs across P&C, Health, and Life in 2024. P&C NII, in particular, accelerated at the fastest pace, increasing by 29.3% YoY.
  • Realized gains supported by P&C sales. Insurers closed the year with $74 billion in realized gains, a record for the industry and an increase of $40 billion from 2023. P&C insurers realized $80 billion in gains, which was likely due to sales of equity exposure. During 2024, the total insurance industry unrealized capital position fell by $14 billion.
  • Insurers continued to search for incremental yield. The elevated interest rate environment helped improve net yield to 4.2% through higher book yields for bond portfolios and allocations to equities and other³ assets.
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Asset Allocation Lookback

  • Equity exposure dropped as insurers locked in gains. The S&P 500 Index was up over 24% in 2024, and insurers opportunistically monetized outperformance – decreasing equity allocations by over 1% to 7.4%.
  • Fixed income down but not out. Despite enticing yields, the U.S. insurance industry marginally decreased bond allocations by 0.3% to 66.8%. The dip was driven by Life insurer allocation changes, whereas P&C and Health insurers increased exposures by 0.6% and 1.2%, respectively. The sector’s gross yield of 4.5% was attractive relative to recent history; however, overall spreads remained at tight levels.
  • Private allocations continued to grow but decelerated. The sector’s allocation grew precipitously between 2019 and 2022, when assets averaged a 13.6% increase per year. The gross yield on Long-Term Investments has since declined, falling 2.75% to 6.29%, as has the annualized growth rate. The sector’s weight grew slightly YoY to 6.8%.
  • Within Schedule BA, Private Equity remained favored. In 2024, private equity was again the preferred vehicle among Schedule BA assets for US insurers. Although private equity exposure has dipped since its 2021 peak of over 50% of Long-Term Investments, 2024’s 49% was in-line with the 10-year average of 48.8%.
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¹Table includes the total insurance industry (Life, Health, and P&C insurers). ²Unrealized Capital Gains/(Losses) Change shows the change in net unrealized capital gains less capital gains tax and includes equity in undistributed income.³Other includes Real Estate and Other Investments.

 

Notable Bond Portfolio Trends

  • Cash and short-term investments spiked due to attractive short-term rates and desire for liquidity. Exposures to cash and short-term investments rose to 7.5% from 6.5% as an inverted and flat yield curve boosted the appeal of short assets. For P&C insurers’, the allocation was the fastest-growing segment of their balance sheets and increased by 3.5% YoY due to a preference for liquidity during a year of elevated catastrophe losses.
  • Insurers maintained an up-in-quality approach. Insurance portfolios’ asset quality increased slightly as the exposures to bonds rated NAIC 3 through 6, which denote below investment-grade ratings, dropped by 0.2% to 4.6% of insurer portfolios, the lowest since 2008. Insurers of all types moved up in quality for a third consecutive year.
  • Securitized bonds were still preferable to corporates. Securitized exposure grew by approximately 1% in each of the last 2 years and ended 2024 at 25.2% of bond holdings. The increase stemmed from a rise in residential mortgage-backed security (RMBS) and structured securities assets. Alternatively, issuer obligations, steadily decreased and registered a new 10-year low of 72%.
  • Private Placements exposure continued to rise. In 2024, US insurers’ private placement holdings were a record-setting 37.3% of total bonds, with Life insurers allocating 45.5% of bond holdings to the sector. Conversely, P&C and Health channels’ private placement exposure has slowly declined since peaking in the early 2020s.
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¹Health data as provided by S&P SNL does not sum to 100% due to different filing methods. ²Other includes Real Estate and Other Investments.

 

IR+M’s Take On 2025

  • Uncertainty has been pervasive in 2025. The Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dual mandate of managing inflation and maintaining growth in the economy has only become more difficult with the introduction of increased tariffs and softening consumer sentiment.
  • Issuer fundamentals remain healthy, but could deteriorate if the economy is further pressured, underscoring the importance of security selection.
  • At IR+M, we partner with insurers to weather these headwinds and optimize their investment portfolios in this environment. While spreads overall are not overly compelling, it is important not to paint the fixed income market with a broad brush. We continue to find opportunities within the following parts of the market:
    • Municipals: Due to record-setting supply and policy uncertainty, tax-exempt valuations appear attractive relative to recent history. We view current muni/Treasury ratios as a compelling entry point for insurers looking to improve after-tax yield in a high-quality alternative to investment-grade corporates.
    • Securitized: We believe the securitized market continues to offer attractive relative value versus other spread sectors, particularly on a risk-adjusted basis. The heterogenous risk profiles and collateral types allow insurers to emphasize high-quality income and improve diversification, especially those in:
      • CMBS: AAA-rated seasoned conduit deals, with limited office exposure, and select single-asset-single-borrower (SASB) securities can offer comparable spreads to investment-grade corporates.
      • CLOs: managers with long-term, proven track records through multiple market cycles appear attractive versus lower-rated front-end alternatives.
      • Non-traditional ABS: a growing and evolving part of the ABS market, with subsectors such as Whole Business Securitizations, can provide a yield pick-up versus traditional ABS and similarly-rated corporates.
    • Investment-Grade Convertibles: Convertible supply has recently made a comeback due to the higher rate environment. Companies can issue bonds in the convertible market with lower coupons relative to the corporate market. As a result, there are increasingly more opportunities to invest in high-quality issuers in a unique structure with favorable capital treatment.

As uncertainty and elevated volatility permeate the market, we believe a focus on bottom-up security selection is vital. As a high-quality, fixed income manager, we believe that partnering with our insurance clients to optimize their book yield profile, while limiting financial statement volatility, is paramount.

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Top Chart Sources: Bloomberg as of 04/30/25. Middle Chart: Source: Bloomberg as of 4/30/25 Shows the option-adjusted spread (OAS) for the respective Bloomberg indices unless otherwise noted. CLO spreads are sourced from the JP Morgan CLOIE Index AAA Discount Margin. Non-Traditional ABS spreads sourced from the ICE BofA US Fixed Rate Miscellaneous ABS Index. Bottom Chart Sources:  BofA Global Research as of 4/30/25. Reprinted by permission. Copyright © 2025 Bank of America Corporation (“BAC”). The use of the above in no way implies that BAC or any of its affiliates endorses the views or interpretation or the use of such information or acts as any endorsement of the use of such information. The information is provided "as is" and none of BAC or any of its affiliates warrants the accuracy or completeness of the information.

Sources: All data, charts, and tables sourced from S&P SNL Financial as of 12/31/24, but retrieved on 5/21/25.

The views contained in this report are those of Income Research + Management (“IR+M”) and are based on information obtained by IR+M from sources that are believed to be reliable but IR+M makes no guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of the underlying third-party data used to form IR+M’s views and opinions.  This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended to provide specific advice, recommendations, or projected returns for any particular IR+M product.  Investing in securities involves risk of loss that clients should be prepared to bear.  More specifically, investing in the bond market is subject to certain risks including but not limited to market, interest rate, credit, call or prepayment, extension, issuer, and inflation risk.

It should not be assumed that the yields or any other data presented exist today or will in the future.  Past performance is not a guarantee of future results and current and future portfolio holdings are subject to risk.  Securities listed in this presentation are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation to purchase or sell any of the securities listed.  Forward looking analyses are based on assumptions and may change.  It should not be assumed that recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of the securities listed.  Some statistics require assumptions for calculations which can be disclosed upon request.

 

Copyright © 2025, S&P Global Market Intelligence.  Reproduction of any information, data or material, including ratings (“Content”) in any form is prohibited except with the prior written permission of the relevant party. Such party, its affiliates and suppliers (“Content Providers”) do not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy, completeness, timeliness or availability of any Content and are not responsible for any errors or omissions (negligent or otherwise), regardless of the cause, or for the results obtained from the use of such Content. In no event shall Content Providers be liable for any damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including lost income or lost profit and opportunity costs) in connection with any use of the Content. A reference to a particular investment or security, a rating or any observation concerning an investment that is part of the Content is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold such investment or security, does not address the suitability of an investment or security and should not be relied on as investment advice. Credit ratings are statements of opinions and are not statements of fact.

Source ICE Data Indices, LLC (“ICE Data”), is used with permission. ICE Data, its affiliates and their respective third party suppliers disclaim any and all warranties and representations, express and/or implied, including any warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use, including the indices, index data and any data included in, related to, or derived therefrom.  Neither ICE Data, its affiliates nor their respective third party providers shall be subject to any damages or liability with respect to the adequacy, accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the indices or the index data or any component thereof, and the indices and index data and all components thereof are provided on an “as is” basis and your use is at your own risk.  ICE Data, its affiliates and their respective third party suppliers do not sponsor, endorse, or recommend IR+M, or any of its products or services.

“Bloomberg®” and Bloomberg Indices are service marks of Bloomberg Finance L.P. and its affiliates, including Bloomberg Index Services Limited (“BISL”), the administrator of the index (collectively, “Bloomberg”) and have been licensed for use for certain purposes by IR+M. Bloomberg is not affiliated with IR+M, and Bloomberg does not approve, endorse, review, or recommend the products described herein. Bloomberg does not guarantee the timeliness, accurateness, or completeness of any data or information relating to any IR+M product.

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IR+M is a privately-owned, independent, fixed income investment management firm that serves institutional and private clients. Our investment philosophy and process are based on our belief that careful security selection and active risk management provide superior results over the long-term. By combining the capacity and technology of a larger firm with the culture and nimbleness of a boutique firm, we strive to provide exceptional service for our clients and a rewarding experience for our employees.

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rlund@incomeresearch.com
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